Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Wednsday bubble watch

The five games from last night probably didn't do much different - but it had to hurt the Bucks.

Virginia Tech beat Boston College - If the Hokies are going to have any chance they needed this one. They got it.

Indiana beat Ohio State - Buckeyes in as close to freefall as possible. At 17-11 they are down to 52 in the RPI. Numbers like that lead to RIP.

Southern Illinois beat Bradley - Even with this win, I can't imagine a 16-12 team out of the Valley garnering more support than a 17-11 team out of the Big Ten or Big East.

UNLV beat San Diego State - Rebels had to rally in the second half to win. Keeps them in good shape.

BYU beat New Mexico - Got to figure the Cougs are as close to a lock as possible now. The Lobos didn't help their chances last night, and the RPI at 53 needs some improvement.

Tonight's key games.

Appalachian State versus Davidson - Only matters if Davidson doesn't win the Southern Conference tournament. I think Davidson could survive one loss in the Southern Conference but not anymore.

NC-Wilmington versus Virginia Commonwealth - Rams almost need to be perfect the rest of the way to avoid heartbreak if they don't win in the tournament.

Western Kentucky versus Florida International - I don't think the Hilltoppers get in, regardless. But a loss tonight would cinch that.

Rhode Island versus George Washington - Reeling Rams can't afford to lose a fifth straight.

Florida versus Georgia - Gators haven't secured their bid yet. A loss does a lot more to hurt than a win does to help.

Mississippi versus Kentucky - If these teams have a chance a loss tonight probably eliminates that hope.

Auburn versus Mississippi State - Bulldogs can ill-afford to be losing games like this at home, this late in the season.

Oklahoma versus Nebraska - Sooners can probably afford to slip up. But you never know what's going to happen come conference tournament time, so taking care of business tonight would be advised.

Creighton versus Illinois State - We still believe if the Valley gets two, that Illinois State is the second.

West Virginia versus Depaul - Mountaineers can't afford losses against teams that were never ranked.

UAB versus UTEP - Blazers are making a charge. They need this one. Desperately.

Baylor versus Colorado - Bears are just about locked. But shut the door and be done with it.

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